Flamengo vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ATue, 27 Oct 2026

Flamengo

1st in table · 70 pts

DWDWD

Tue, 27 Oct 202600:00

3 : 2

Full time

Atletico-MG

6th in table · 50 pts

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

75.6%Flamengo17.2%Draw7.3%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

1X · Flamengo

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.05
Confidence75.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Flamengo 75.6%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Atletico-MG 7.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlamengoAtletico-MG
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61
Wins
2114
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Flamengo5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 23 OctFlamengo0 – 0Estudiantes L.P.D
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoW
  • 16 OctEstudiantes L.P.0 – 0FlamengoD
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseW
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
Atletico-MG6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
H2H
Head to headFlamengo 6W · 2D · Atletico-MG 1W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 27 AprAtletico-MG0 – 4Flamengo
  • 26 NovAtletico-MG1 – 1Flamengo
  • 6 AugAtletico-MG0 – 1Flamengo
  • 1 AugFlamengo0 – 1Atletico-MG
  • 28 JulFlamengo1 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 14 NovFlamengo0 – 0Atletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X76.9%
X223.1%

Match result

Flamengo1.25
Draw5.5
Atletico-MG13

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance76.9%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance23.1%
Odds3.5

Flamengo

Chance75.6%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

Atletico-MG

Chance7.3%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.05

FlamengoAtletico-MG
Recent form49%51%
Attack42%58%
Defence55%45%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Tue, 27 Oct 2026

Flamengo meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 27 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 27 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.