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Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresFri, 17 Apr 2026

Flamengo

WWWLD

Fri, 17 Apr 202601:30

4 : 1

Full time

Independiente Medellin

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

77.9%Flamengo14.9%Draw7.2%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Flamengo

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence77.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Flamengo 77.9%
  • Draw 14.9%
  • Independiente Medellin 7.2%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

FlamengoIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X80.8%
X219.2%

Match result

Flamengo1.2
Draw6.25
Independiente Medellin13

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance80.8%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance19.2%
Odds4.33

Flamengo

Chance77.9%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance14.9%
Odds6.25

Independiente Medellin

Chance7.2%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 4.33

FlamengoIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall92%8%

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Fri, 17 Apr 2026

Flamengo meet Independiente Medellin in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 17 April 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 17 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats