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Florgrade vs Leça Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BSat, 17 Jan 2026

Florgrade

WWLLW

Sat, 17 Jan 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

Leça

Pre-match win probability

33.3%Florgrade29%Draw37.7%Leça

Our prediction

Leça

Leça is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Florgrade 33.3%
  • Draw 29%
  • Leça 37.7%

Season statistics

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlorgradeLeça
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Florgrade5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctFlorgrade2 – 0CinfãesW
  • 17 OctFlorgrade1 – 2PortimonenseL
  • 10 OctMachico4 – 0FlorgradeL
  • 27 SeptCamacha0 – 1FlorgradeW
  • 13 SeptFlorgrade2 – 0SanjoanenseW
Leça0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFlorgrade 0W · 0D · Leça 1W · 1 goals a game
    • 17 AugLeça1 – 0Florgrade

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals41.9% · 2.2558.1% · 1.62

    Double chance

    1X47.6%
    X252.4%

    Match result

    Florgrade2.7
    Draw3.1
    Leça2.38

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance47.6%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance52.4%
    Odds1.36

    Florgrade

    Chance33.3%
    Odds2.7

    Draw

    Chance29%
    Odds3.1

    Leça

    Chance37.7%
    Odds2.38

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Leça at 2.38

    FlorgradeLeça
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall47%53%

    Trends

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

    Florgrade scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

    Florgrade conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Florgrade vs Leça: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

    Florgrade meet Leça in the Portugal, Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 17 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leça at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Florgrade vs Leça FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Florgrade vs Leça?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Florgrade vs Leça?

    Leça is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.