Get Premium

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 21 Mar 2026

Fluminense

LLLWL

Sat, 21 Mar 202622:30

1 : 0

Full time

Atletico-MG

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

57.7%Fluminense26.4%Draw15.9%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 57.7%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Atletico-MG 15.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseAtletico-MG
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fluminense4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
Atletico-MG0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFluminense 3W · 2D · Atletico-MG 4W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 12 SeptAtletico-MG3 – 1Fluminense
    • 4 OctFluminense3 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 11 MayAtletico-MG3 – 2Fluminense
    • 25 SeptAtletico-MG2 – 0Fluminense
    • 18 SeptFluminense1 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 25 AugAtletico-MG0 – 2Fluminense

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
    1.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
    2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3%
    No54.7%

    Double chance

    1X65.9%
    X234.1%

    Match result

    Fluminense1.65
    Draw3.6
    Atletico-MG6

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3% · 2.05
    No54.7% · 1.7

    1X

    Chance65.9%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.2

    Fluminense

    Chance57.7%
    Odds1.65

    Draw

    Chance26.4%
    Odds3.6

    Atletico-MG

    Chance15.9%
    Odds6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

    FluminenseAtletico-MG
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model60%40%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall78%22%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Fluminense scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Fluminense conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Fluminense vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

    Fluminense meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 21 March 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Fluminense vs Atletico-MG FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

    Kickoff is 22:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

    Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.