Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 15 Mar 2026

Fluminense

WDDLW

Sun, 15 Mar 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

53.6%Fluminense27.6%Draw18.8%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 53.6%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Atletico Paranaense 18.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseAtletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0813.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Fluminense1.75
Draw3.4
Atletico Paranaense5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Fluminense

Chance53.6%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Atletico Paranaense

Chance18.8%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

FluminenseAtletico Paranaense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Fluminense meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Serie A on 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense prediction, H2H and stats