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Fluminense vs Bangu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Fluminense

1st in table · 15 pts

LLLWL

Mon, 16 Feb 202622:00

3 : 1

Full time

Bangu

4th in table · 10 pts

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

77.2%Fluminense15.8%Draw7%Bangu

Our prediction

Home · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Bangu listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence77.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 77.2%
  • Draw 15.8%
  • Bangu 7%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseBangu
Goals scored (avg)
1.51
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Wins
53
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fluminense4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
Bangu3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 22 JulBangu1 – 1OlariaD
  • 15 JulOlaria2 – 0BanguL
  • 7 MarBotafogo3 – 1BanguL
  • 28 FebVolta Redonda1 – 1BanguD
  • 21 FebBangu1 – 0Volta RedondaW
H2H
Head to headFluminense 5W · 0D · Bangu 1W · 3.8 goals a game
  • 23 FebFluminense3 – 2Bangu
  • 2 FebFluminense4 – 1Bangu
  • 4 MarBangu0 – 5Fluminense
  • 28 JanFluminense0 – 1Bangu
  • 21 MarBangu0 – 1Fluminense
  • 26 JanBangu1 – 5Fluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X80.8%
X219.2%

Match result

Fluminense1.18
Draw5.75
Bangu13

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance80.8%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance19.2%
Odds4.33

Fluminense

Chance77.2%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance15.8%
Odds5.75

Bangu

Chance7%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.18

FluminenseBangu
Recent form50%50%
Attack60%40%
Defence50%50%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall92%8%

Trends

Trend · Carioca - 1

Fluminense scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Carioca - 1

Fluminense conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Carioca - 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Carioca - 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Fluminense vs Bangu: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Fluminense meet Bangu in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 16 February 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fluminense vs Bangu FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fluminense vs Bangu?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Bangu?

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.