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Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AWed, 28 Jan 2026

Fluminense

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Wed, 28 Jan 202623:30

vs

Not started

Gremio

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Pre-match win probability

52.8%Fluminense27.2%Draw20%Gremio

Our prediction

Draw · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence52.8%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 52.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Gremio 20%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseGremio
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fluminense4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
Gremio0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFluminense 3W · 2D · Gremio 4W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 26 JulGremio1 – 1Fluminense
    • 3 DecGremio1 – 2Fluminense
    • 3 AugFluminense1 – 0Gremio
    • 2 NovFluminense2 – 2Gremio
    • 20 AugFluminense2 – 1Gremio
    • 13 AugGremio2 – 1Fluminense

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.9% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
    1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.8% · 1.6
    3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.4% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X62.3%
    X237.7%

    Match result

    Fluminense1.8
    Draw3.5
    Gremio4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance62.3%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.7%
    Odds1.95

    Fluminense

    Chance52.8%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.5

    Gremio

    Chance20%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.5

    FluminenseGremio
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model60%40%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall73%27%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Fluminense scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Fluminense conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Fluminense vs Gremio: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Wed, 28 Jan 2026

    Fluminense meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 28 January 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Fluminense vs Gremio FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Fluminense vs Gremio?

    Kickoff is 23:30 on 28 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Gremio?

    Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.