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Fluminense vs Madureira Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Fluminense

Wed, 14 Jan 202623:00

2 : 1

Live

Madureira

Pre-match win probability

55.2%Fluminense26.1%Draw18.8%Madureira

Our prediction

Fluminense

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 55.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Madureira 18.8%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseMadureira

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Fluminense1.7
Draw3.6
Madureira5

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Fluminense

Chance55.2%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Madureira

Chance18.8%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Fluminense at 1.7

FluminenseMadureira
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Fluminense vs Madureira: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Fluminense meet Madureira in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 14 January 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fluminense vs Madureira FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fluminense vs Madureira?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Madureira?

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fluminense vs Madureira prediction, H2H and stats