Get Premium

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 16 May 2026

Fluminense

WDDLL

Sat, 16 May 202623:00

2 : 1

Live

Sao Paulo

LLDDD

Pre-match win probability

52.6%Fluminense26.3%Draw21.1%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 52.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Sao Paulo 21.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

FluminenseSao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.4% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X62.3%
X237.7%

Match result

Fluminense1.8
Draw3.6
Sao Paulo4.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

Fluminense

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Sao Paulo

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

FluminenseSao Paulo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 16 May 2026

Fluminense meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction, H2H and stats