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Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 21 Dec 2025

Fortuna Sittard

Sun, 21 Dec 202516:45

4 : 3

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

Pre-match win probability

19%Fortuna Sittard23.2%Draw57.7%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fortuna Sittard 19%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • AZ Alkmaar 57.7%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X34.2%
X265.8%

Match result

Fortuna Sittard5
Draw4.1
AZ Alkmaar1.65

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

X2

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

Fortuna Sittard

Chance19%
Odds5

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

AZ Alkmaar

Chance57.7%
Odds1.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AZ Alkmaar at 1.65

Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall25%75%

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

Fortuna Sittard meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 21 December 2025 at 16:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 16:45 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats