Get Premium

France vs Italy Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 2 Oct 2026

France

WWLLW

Fri, 2 Oct 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Italy

WLWW

Pre-match win probability

65.4%France20%Draw14.6%Italy

Our prediction

Home or Draw · France

France vs Italy listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • France 65.4%
  • Draw 20%
  • Italy 14.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

FranceItaly

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

France1.45
Draw4.75
Italy6.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

France

Chance65.4%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Italy

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

FranceItaly
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

France vs Italy: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

France meet Italy in the World, UEFA Nations League on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is France at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

France vs Italy FAQs

4 questions

What time is France vs Italy?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 2 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on France vs Italy?

France is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

France vs Italy prediction, H2H and stats