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FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWestSat, 16 May 2026

FSV Mainz 05 II

DDWLD

Sat, 16 May 202613:00

0 : 4

Full time

Freiburg II

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

51.3%FSV Mainz 05 II20.7%Draw28%Freiburg II

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FSV Mainz 05 II

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 II 51.3%
  • Draw 20.7%
  • Freiburg II 28%

Season statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05 IIFreiburg II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.010.7% · 34
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.073.2% · 7.5
2.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.8% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

Double chance

1X58.8%
X241.2%

Match result

FSV Mainz 05 II1.75
Draw4.33
Freiburg II3.2

Both teams to score

Yes71% · 1.33
No29% · 3.25

1X

Chance58.8%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.2%
Odds1.83

FSV Mainz 05 II

Chance51.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Freiburg II

Chance28%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.83

FSV Mainz 05 IIFreiburg II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II: prediction & preview

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · Sat, 16 May 2026

FSV Mainz 05 II meet Freiburg II in the Germany, Regionalliga - SudWest on 16 May 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 II at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II FAQs

4 questions

What time is FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?

FSV Mainz 05 II is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II prediction, H2H and stats