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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05

WWLWD

Sat, 10 Oct 202614:30

3 : 4

Full time

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

30.7%FSV Mainz 0525%Draw44.3%Bayer Leverkusen

Our prediction

Draw · FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence44.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 30.7%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 44.3%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

FSV Mainz 053.1
Draw3.8
Bayer Leverkusen2.15

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

FSV Mainz 05

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance44.3%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.8

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05 meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany, Bundesliga on 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen FAQs

4 questions

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, H2H and stats