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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 25 Apr 2026

FSV Mainz 05

DLLWW

Sat, 25 Apr 202614:30

3 : 4

Full time

Bayern München

DDWDW

Pre-match win probability

24.8%FSV Mainz 0519.8%Draw55.4%Bayern München

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence55.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 24.8%
  • Draw 19.8%
  • Bayern München 55.4%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Goals scored (avg)
–3.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FSV Mainz 050W 0D 0L in last 0
    Bayern München6W 4D 0L in last 10
    • 25 OctSC Freiburg1 – 3Bayern MünchenW
    • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
    • 17 OctBayern München6 – 1RB LeipzigW
    • 13 OctViking3 – 3Bayern MünchenD
    • 10 OctFC Augsburg2 – 2Bayern MünchenD
    H2H
    Head to headFSV Mainz 05 2W · 1D · Bayern München 6W · 4.8 goals a game
    • 14 DecBayern München2 – 2FSV Mainz 05
    • 26 AprBayern München3 – 0FSV Mainz 05
    • 14 DecFSV Mainz 052 – 1Bayern München
    • 30 OctFSV Mainz 050 – 4Bayern München
    • 9 MarBayern Munich8 – 1FSV Mainz 05
    • 21 OctFSV Mainz 051 – 3Bayern Munich

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.8% · 1.13.4% · 7
    2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
    3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

    Both teams to score

    Yes66.3%
    No33.7%

    Double chance

    1X36.2%
    X263.8%

    Match result

    FSV Mainz 053.8
    Draw4.75
    Bayern München1.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes66.3% · 1.4
    No33.7% · 2.75

    1X

    Chance36.2%
    Odds2.15

    X2

    Chance63.8%
    Odds1.22

    FSV Mainz 05

    Chance24.8%
    Odds3.8

    Draw

    Chance19.8%
    Odds4.75

    Bayern München

    Chance55.4%
    Odds1.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.91

    FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
    Recent form4%96%
    Attack23%77%
    Defence34%66%
    Goals model23%77%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall31%69%

    Trends

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Bayern München scored 3.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Bayern München conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: prediction & preview

    Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

    FSV Mainz 05 meet Bayern München in the Germany, Bundesliga on 25 April 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

    Kickoff is 14:30 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

    Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.