Get Premium

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaFri, 20 Feb 2026

FSV Mainz 05

Fri, 20 Feb 202620:30

1 : 1

Full time

Hamburger SV

Pre-match win probability

45.1%FSV Mainz 0527.9%Draw27.1%Hamburger SV

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 45.1%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Hamburger SV 27.1%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

FSV Mainz 052.1
Draw3.4
Hamburger SV3.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

FSV Mainz 05

Chance45.1%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Hamburger SV

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FSV Mainz 05 at 2.1

FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Fri, 20 Feb 2026

FSV Mainz 05 meet Hamburger SV in the Germany, Bundesliga on 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV FAQs

4 questions

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 20 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV prediction, H2H and stats