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FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSun, 10 May 2026

FSV Mainz 05

WLDLL

Sun, 10 May 202618:30

1 : 3

Full time

Union Berlin

DLLLD

Pre-match win probability

55.3%FSV Mainz 0522.9%Draw21.7%Union Berlin

Our prediction

Home or Draw · FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 55.3%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Union Berlin 21.7%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Union Berlin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.6%
X236.4%

Match result

FSV Mainz 051.7
Draw4.1
Union Berlin4.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.6%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance36.4%
Odds2.1

FSV Mainz 05

Chance55.3%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

Union Berlin

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

FSV Mainz 05Union Berlin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 10 May 2026

FSV Mainz 05 meet Union Berlin in the Germany, Bundesliga on 10 May 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin FAQs

4 questions

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin prediction, H2H and stats