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GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · Welsh CupFri, 16 Oct 2026

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Fri, 16 Oct 202619:45

4 : 0

Full time

Porthmadog

Pre-match win probability

84%GAP Connah S Quay FC11.6%Draw4.4%Porthmadog

Our prediction

GAP Connah S Quay FC

GAP Connah S Quay FC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.1
Confidence84%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • GAP Connah S Quay FC 84%
  • Draw 11.6%
  • Porthmadog 4.4%

Season statistics

Welsh Cup · highlighted side is stronger

GAP Connah S Quay FCPorthmadog

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.6% · 19
1.5 goals27.5% · 1.115.1% · 6
2.5 goals21.8% · 1.411.1% · 2.75
3.5 goals16% · 1.9117% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

X2100%

Match result

GAP Connah S Quay FC1.1
Draw8
Porthmadog21

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

X2

Chance100%
Odds6.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Chance84%
Odds1.1

Draw

Chance11.6%
Odds8

Porthmadog

Chance4.4%
Odds21

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC at 1.1

GAP Connah S Quay FCPorthmadog
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall95%5%

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog: prediction & preview

Wales · Welsh Cup · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

GAP Connah S Quay FC meet Porthmadog in the Wales, Welsh Cup on 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is GAP Connah S Quay FC at 1.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 84% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog FAQs

4 questions

What time is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog?

GAP Connah S Quay FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 84%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog prediction, H2H and stats