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Gela vs CastrumFavara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone ISun, 7 Dec 2025

Gela

9th in table · 43 pts

LDDDW

Sun, 7 Dec 202515:30

4 : 1

Full time

CastrumFavara

11th in table · 38 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

50%Gela25.7%Draw24.3%CastrumFavara

Our prediction

Gela

Gela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gela 50%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • CastrumFavara 24.3%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone I · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GelaCastrumFavara
Goals scored (avg)
11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.3
Wins
1310
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gela2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctGela4 – 0LicataW
  • 18 OctVibonese1 – 1GelaD
  • 11 OctGela1 – 1MilazzoD
  • 4 OctGela0 – 0AC PalermoD
  • 27 SeptDigiesse PraiaTortora1 – 0GelaL
CastrumFavara2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 18 OctTrapani 19051 – 0CastrumFavaraL
  • 11 OctCastrumFavara3 – 2Igea VirtusW
  • 4 OctVigor Lamezia2 – 0CastrumFavaraL
  • 27 SeptCastrumFavara0 – 1Calcio AvolaL
  • 20 SeptModica1 – 0CastrumFavaraL
H2H
Head to headGela 1W · 0D · CastrumFavara 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 13 SeptGela2 – 1CastrumFavara
  • 19 AprCastrumFavara3 – 1Gela
  • 24 AugCastrumFavara1 – 0Gela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals52.6% · 1.847.4% · 2

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Gela1.8
Draw3.5
CastrumFavara3.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.83

Gela

Chance50%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

CastrumFavara

Chance24.3%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Gela at 1.8

GelaCastrumFavara
Recent form56%44%
Attack48%52%
Defence55%45%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Serie D - Girone I

Gela scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone I

Gela conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone I

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone I

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Gela vs CastrumFavara: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie D - Girone I · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Gela meet CastrumFavara in the Italy, Serie D - Girone I on 7 December 2025 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gela at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gela vs CastrumFavara FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gela vs CastrumFavara?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gela vs CastrumFavara?

Gela is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.