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Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 17 May 2026

Genoa

LWLWW

Sun, 17 May 202611:00

1 : 2

Full time

AC Milan

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

18.8%Genoa24.1%Draw57%AC Milan

Our prediction

AC Milan

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence57%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 18.8%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • AC Milan 57%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaAC Milan
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Genoa4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
AC Milan4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaW
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
H2H
Head to headGenoa 0W · 3D · AC Milan 6W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 8 JanAC Milan1 – 1Genoa
  • 5 MayGenoa1 – 2AC Milan
  • 15 DecAC Milan0 – 0Genoa
  • 5 MayAC Milan3 – 3Genoa
  • 7 OctGenoa0 – 1AC Milan
  • 15 AprAC Milan2 – 0Genoa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X37.1%
X262.9%

Match result

Genoa5
Draw3.9
AC Milan1.65

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance37.1%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

Genoa

Chance18.8%
Odds5

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

AC Milan

Chance57%
Odds1.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AC Milan at 1.65

GenoaAC Milan
Recent form46%54%
Attack33%67%
Defence53%47%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall25%75%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Genoa scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Genoa conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Genoa vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 17 May 2026

Genoa meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Genoa vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Genoa vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.