Get Premium

Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 21 Dec 2025

Genoa

16th in table · 41 pts

LLWLW

Sun, 21 Dec 202520:45

0 : 1

Full time

Atalanta

7th in table · 59 pts

WWLLD

Pre-match win probability

26.3%Genoa29.6%Draw44.1%Atalanta

Our prediction

Away · Genoa

Genoa vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 26.3%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Atalanta 44.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.7
Wins
1015
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Genoa3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaL
Atalanta4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
H2H
Head to headGenoa 0W · 3D · Atalanta 6W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 2 MayAtalanta0 – 0Genoa
  • 3 DecAtalanta4 – 0Genoa
  • 17 MayGenoa2 – 3Atalanta
  • 5 OctAtalanta5 – 1Genoa
  • 11 FebGenoa1 – 4Atalanta
  • 22 OctAtalanta2 – 0Genoa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.6% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X43.4%
X256.6%

Match result

Genoa3.6
Draw3.2
Atalanta2.15

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

Genoa

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Atalanta

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.15

GenoaAtalanta
Recent form43%57%
Attack30%70%
Defence54%46%
Goals model30%70%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Genoa scored 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Genoa conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Genoa vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

Genoa meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 21 December 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is Genoa vs Atalanta?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Genoa vs Atalanta?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.