Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 10 Oct 2026

Genoa

Sat, 10 Oct 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Fiorentina

Pre-match win probability

29.2%Genoa29.6%Draw41.2%Fiorentina

Our prediction

Fiorentina

Fiorentina is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence41.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 29.2%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Fiorentina 41.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaFiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X45.1%
X254.9%

Match result

Genoa3.25
Draw3.2
Fiorentina2.3

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

Genoa

Chance29.2%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Fiorentina

Chance41.2%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Fiorentina at 2.3

GenoaFiorentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Genoa vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Genoa meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fiorentina at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and stats