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Genoa vs Sassuolo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 12 Apr 2026

Genoa

LLWWL

Sun, 12 Apr 202611:30

2 : 1

Full time

Sassuolo

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Genoa28.8%Draw27.1%Sassuolo

Our prediction

Draw · Genoa

Genoa vs Sassuolo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 44.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Sassuolo 27.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaSassuolo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Genoa2.15
Draw3.3
Sassuolo3.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

Genoa

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Sassuolo

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

GenoaSassuolo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Genoa vs Sassuolo: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Genoa meet Sassuolo in the Italy, Serie A on 12 April 2026 at 11:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Genoa at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs Sassuolo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Genoa vs Sassuolo?

Kickoff is 11:30 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Genoa vs Sassuolo?

Genoa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Genoa vs Sassuolo prediction, H2H and stats