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Gnistan vs Mariehamn Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Finland · VeikkausliigaSat, 11 Jul 2026

Gnistan

LDDWW

Sat, 11 Jul 202615:00

4 : 2

Full time

Mariehamn

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

71.9%Gnistan17.4%Draw10.7%Mariehamn

Our prediction

Home · Gnistan

Gnistan vs Mariehamn listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence71.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gnistan 71.9%
  • Draw 17.4%
  • Mariehamn 10.7%

Season statistics

Veikkausliiga · highlighted side is stronger

GnistanMariehamn

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X75.9%
X224.1%

Match result

Gnistan1.27
Draw5.25
Mariehamn8.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance75.9%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance24.1%
Odds3.4

Gnistan

Chance71.9%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance17.4%
Odds5.25

Mariehamn

Chance10.7%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.27

GnistanMariehamn
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

Gnistan vs Mariehamn: prediction & preview

Finland · Veikkausliiga · Sat, 11 Jul 2026

Gnistan meet Mariehamn in the Finland, Veikkausliiga on 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gnistan at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gnistan vs Mariehamn FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 11 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

Gnistan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gnistan vs Mariehamn prediction, H2H and stats