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Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Queensland NPLSat, 4 Jul 2026

Gold Coast Knights

4th in table · 38 pts

DLDWL

Sat, 4 Jul 202607:15

2 : 1

Full time

Moreton City Excelsior

3rd in table · 39 pts

WDWDL

Pre-match win probability

36.1%Gold Coast Knights23.8%Draw40.1%Moreton City Excelsior

Our prediction

Draw · Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gold Coast Knights 36.1%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Moreton City Excelsior 40.1%

Season statistics

Queensland NPL · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
1112
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gold Coast Knights2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast KnightsL
  • 14 AugBrisbane Roar II1 – 2Gold Coast KnightsW
  • 8 AugGold Coast Knights2 – 2Peninsula PowerD
  • 1 AugGold Coast United1 – 0Gold Coast KnightsL
  • 25 JulGold Coast Knights1 – 1Gold Coast UnitedD
Moreton City Excelsior0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headGold Coast Knights 2W · 0D · Moreton City Excelsior 4W · 4 goals a game
    • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast Knights
    • 20 FebMoreton City Excelsior4 – 1Gold Coast Knights
    • 15 AugMoreton City Excelsior4 – 0Gold Coast Knights
    • 2 MayGold Coast Knights1 – 0Moreton City Excelsior
    • 2 AugGold Coast Knights2 – 5Moreton City Excelsior
    • 27 AprMoreton City Excelsior2 – 3Gold Coast Knights

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.4% · 1.010.8% · 29
    1.5 goals21.9% · 1.083.4% · 7
    2.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    3.5 goals13.1% · 1.812.4% · 1.91

    Both teams to score

    Yes71%
    No29%

    Double chance

    1X45.9%
    X254.1%

    Match result

    Gold Coast Knights2.5
    Draw3.8
    Moreton City Excelsior2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes71% · 1.33
    No29% · 3.25

    1X

    Chance45.9%
    Odds1.6

    X2

    Chance54.1%
    Odds1.36

    Gold Coast Knights

    Chance36.1%
    Odds2.5

    Draw

    Chance23.8%
    Odds3.8

    Moreton City Excelsior

    Chance40.1%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.8

    Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head33%67%
    Overall47%53%

    Trends

    Trend · Queensland NPL

    Gold Coast Knights scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Queensland NPL

    Gold Coast Knights conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Queensland NPL

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Queensland NPL

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior: prediction & preview

    Australia · Queensland NPL · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

    Gold Coast Knights meet Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia, Queensland NPL on 4 July 2026 at 07:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moreton City Excelsior at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

    Kickoff is 07:15 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

    Moreton City Excelsior is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.