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GOR Mahia vs Sofapaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueSat, 31 Jan 2026

GOR Mahia

LWWWW

Sat, 31 Jan 202614:00

3 : 0

Full time

Sofapaka

Pre-match win probability

58.9%GOR Mahia28.2%Draw12.9%Sofapaka

Our prediction

GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence58.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • GOR Mahia 58.9%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Sofapaka 12.9%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 6 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GOR MahiaSofapaka
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

GOR Mahia4W 0D 2L in last 6
  • 28 OctHomeboyz0 – 1GOR MahiaW
  • 24 OctGOR Mahia1 – 0BandariW
  • 17 OctAPS Bomet0 – 1GOR MahiaW
  • 13 OctGOR Mahia4 – 2Murang'a SEALW
  • 13 SeptPyramids FC5 – 1GOR MahiaL
Sofapaka0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headGOR Mahia 3W · 5D · Sofapaka 0W · 1.4 goals a game
    • 27 SeptSofapaka0 – 2GOR Mahia
    • 19 AprSofapaka1 – 1GOR Mahia
    • 22 JanGOR Mahia2 – 0Sofapaka
    • 16 JunSofapaka0 – 1GOR Mahia
    • 26 AugGOR Mahia1 – 1Sofapaka
    • 5 AprSofapaka0 – 0GOR Mahia

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals39.1% · 2.3860.9% · 1.53

    Double chance

    1X71%
    X229%

    Match result

    GOR Mahia1.53
    Draw3.2
    Sofapaka7

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance71%
    Odds1.06

    X2

    Chance29%
    Odds2.6

    GOR Mahia

    Chance58.9%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance28.2%
    Odds3.2

    Sofapaka

    Chance12.9%
    Odds7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: GOR Mahia at 1.53

    GOR MahiaSofapaka
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head69%31%
    Overall82%18%

    Trends

    Trend · FKF Premier League

    GOR Mahia scored 1.3 per game in the last 6.

    Trend · FKF Premier League

    GOR Mahia conceded 1.5 per game in the last 6.

    Trend · FKF Premier League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 6.

    Trend · FKF Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 6.

    GOR Mahia vs Sofapaka: prediction & preview

    Kenya · FKF Premier League · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

    GOR Mahia meet Sofapaka in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 31 January 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is GOR Mahia at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    GOR Mahia vs Sofapaka FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is GOR Mahia vs Sofapaka?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on GOR Mahia vs Sofapaka?

    GOR Mahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.