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Gramadense vs Bagé Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa GaúchaSun, 5 Jul 2026

Gramadense

WDWWL

Sun, 5 Jul 202618:00

0 : 1

Full time

Bagé

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

42.9%Gramadense29%Draw28.1%Bagé

Our prediction

Gramadense

Gramadense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gramadense 42.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Bagé 28.1%

Season statistics

Copa Gaúcha · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GramadenseBagé
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gramadense5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 24 JulBrasil DE Pelotas2 – 1GramadenseL
  • 12 JulGramadense1 – 0Brasil DE PelotasW
  • 27 JunBagé0 – 1GramadenseW
  • 17 JunSanta Cruz RS2 – 2GramadenseD
  • 11 JunGramadense1 – 0MonsoonW
Bagé2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 27 JunBagé0 – 1GramadenseL
  • 17 JunFarroupilha1 – 2BagéW
  • 14 JunBagé1 – 2Guarany de BagéL
  • 4 JunBagé1 – 1Brasil DE PelotasD
  • 27 MayBrasil DE Pelotas1 – 0BagéL
H2H
Head to headGramadense 1W · 0D · Bagé 1W · 1 goals a game
  • 27 JunBagé0 – 1Gramadense
  • 31 MayBagé1 – 0Gramadense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals40.1% · 2.3559.9% · 1.57

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Gramadense2.1
Draw3.1
Bagé3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.6

Gramadense

Chance42.9%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Bagé

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Gramadense at 2.1

GramadenseBagé
Recent form65%35%
Attack65%35%
Defence50%50%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Copa Gaúcha

Gramadense scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Gaúcha

Gramadense conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Gaúcha

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Copa Gaúcha

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Gramadense vs Bagé: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Gaúcha · Sun, 5 Jul 2026

Gramadense meet Bagé in the Brazil, Copa Gaúcha on 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gramadense at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gramadense vs Bagé FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gramadense vs Bagé?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 5 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gramadense vs Bagé?

Gramadense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.