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Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 8 Aug 2026

Gremio

WDLDD

Sat, 8 Aug 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

DDLLW

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Gremio30.7%Draw29.7%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Gremio

Gremio vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 39.6%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Sao Paulo 29.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GremioSao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.9% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.6% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.4% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Gremio2.4
Draw3.1
Sao Paulo3.2

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Gremio

Chance39.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Sao Paulo

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

GremioSao Paulo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Gremio vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Gremio meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gremio vs Sao Paulo prediction, H2H and stats