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Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 22 Mar 2026

Groningen

DWLLL

Sun, 22 Mar 202616:45

3 : 0

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Groningen24.8%Draw41%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Away · Groningen

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Groningen 34.3%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • AZ Alkmaar 41%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

GroningenAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Groningen2.75
Draw3.8
AZ Alkmaar2.3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Groningen

Chance34.3%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

AZ Alkmaar

Chance41%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.3

GroningenAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Groningen meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 22 March 2026 at 16:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 16:45 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats