Get Premium

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 17 May 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

DWLDD

Sun, 17 May 202602:07

1 : 2

Full time

Cruz Azul

DWWWD

Pre-match win probability

42.5%Guadalajara Chivas28.1%Draw29.4%Cruz Azul

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 42.5%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Cruz Azul 29.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas2.25
Draw3.4
Cruz Azul3.25

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance42.5%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.4

Cruz Azul

Chance29.4%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.67

Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 17 May 2026

Guadalajara Chivas meet Cruz Azul in the Mexico, Liga MX on 17 May 2026 at 02:07 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

Kickoff is 02:07 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul prediction, H2H and stats