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Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXThu, 19 Mar 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

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Thu, 19 Mar 202603:07

5 : 0

Full time

Leon

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Pre-match win probability

67.5%Guadalajara Chivas19.9%Draw12.6%Leon

Our prediction

Home · Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence67.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 67.5%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Leon 12.6%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasLeon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X71.4%
X228.6%

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas1.4
Draw4.75
Leon7.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance67.5%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Leon

Chance12.6%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.4

Guadalajara ChivasLeon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Thu, 19 Mar 2026

Guadalajara Chivas meet Leon in the Mexico, Liga MX on 19 March 2026 at 03:07 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon?

Kickoff is 03:07 on 19 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.