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Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXWed, 21 Oct 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

DDWLD

Wed, 21 Oct 202601:07

1 : 0

Full time

Necaxa

LDLLL

Pre-match win probability

71%Guadalajara Chivas17.2%Draw11.8%Necaxa

Our prediction

1X · Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence71%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 71%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Necaxa 11.8%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X73.2%
X226.8%

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas1.33
Draw5.5
Necaxa8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance73.2%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance26.8%
Odds3

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance71%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

Necaxa

Chance11.8%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.1

Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Guadalajara Chivas meet Necaxa in the Mexico, Liga MX on 21 October 2026 at 01:07 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?

Kickoff is 01:07 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa prediction, H2H and stats