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Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 19 Apr 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

2nd in table · 36 pts

WDDWW

Sun, 19 Apr 202602:07

5 : 0

Full time

Puebla

17th in table · 13 pts

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

74.7%Guadalajara Chivas15.8%Draw9.5%Puebla

Our prediction

Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.27
Confidence74.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 74.7%
  • Draw 15.8%
  • Puebla 9.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
Goals scored (avg)
1.51
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.6
Wins
113
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guadalajara Chivas5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctMonterrey0 – 1Guadalajara ChivasW
  • 21 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 0NecaxaW
  • 18 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 1Tigres UANLD
  • 11 OctAtlas1 – 1Guadalajara ChivasD
  • 5 OctGuadalajara Chivas2 – 0Club AmericaW
Puebla2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 26 OctAtlas4 – 3PueblaL
  • 22 OctPuebla1 – 4MonterreyL
  • 17 OctClub Tijuana0 – 0PueblaD
  • 10 OctPuebla1 – 1LeonD
  • 27 SeptTigres UANL1 – 0PueblaL
H2H
Head to headGuadalajara Chivas 5W · 2D · Puebla 2W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 1 AugPuebla1 – 1Guadalajara Chivas
  • 28 SeptPuebla0 – 2Guadalajara Chivas
  • 16 AprGuadalajara Chivas1 – 0Puebla
  • 26 OctPuebla1 – 0Guadalajara Chivas
  • 7 AprGuadalajara Chivas3 – 2Puebla
  • 21 OctPuebla0 – 2Guadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X78.1%
X221.9%

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas1.27
Draw6
Puebla10

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance78.1%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance21.9%
Odds3.75

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance74.7%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance15.8%
Odds6

Puebla

Chance9.5%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Guadalajara Chivas at 1.27

Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
Recent form68%32%
Attack60%40%
Defence62%38%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 19 Apr 2026

Guadalajara Chivas meet Puebla in the Mexico, Liga MX on 19 April 2026 at 02:07 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?

Kickoff is 02:07 on 19 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.