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Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 19 Jul 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

DDWD

Sun, 19 Jul 202602:07

0 : 2

Full time

Toluca

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

49%Guadalajara Chivas25.8%Draw25.2%Toluca

Our prediction

X2 · Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence49%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 49%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Toluca 25.2%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas1.95
Draw3.7
Toluca3.8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance49%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Toluca

Chance25.2%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.57

Guadalajara ChivasToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 19 Jul 2026

Guadalajara Chivas meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 19 July 2026 at 02:07 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 02:07 on 19 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 49%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats