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Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Thu, 22 Jan 2026

Guarany de Bagé

LDD

Thu, 22 Jan 202601:30

0 : 2

Full time

Gremio

WLW

Pre-match win probability

17.3%Guarany de Bagé24.2%Draw58.5%Gremio

Our prediction

Away · Guarany de Bagé

Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence58.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guarany de Bagé 17.3%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Gremio 58.5%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Guarany de BagéGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X34.7%
X265.3%

Match result

Guarany de Bagé5.25
Draw3.75
Gremio1.55

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance34.7%
Odds2.2

X2

Chance65.3%
Odds1.17

Guarany de Bagé

Chance17.3%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.75

Gremio

Chance58.5%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.55

Guarany de BagéGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall23%77%

Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Thu, 22 Jan 2026

Guarany de Bagé meet Gremio in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 22 January 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 22 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guarany de Bagé vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats