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Guimaraes B vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Guimaraes B

1st in table · 29 pts

WLDWW

Sun, 11 Jan 202616:00

1 : 2

Full time

Varzim

4th in table · 28 pts

LLDWD

Pre-match win probability

38.9%Guimaraes B28%Draw33.1%Varzim

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Guimaraes B

Guimaraes B vs Varzim listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes B 38.9%
  • Draw 28%
  • Varzim 33.1%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

Guimaraes BVarzim
Wins
87
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guimaraes B0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Varzim0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headGuimaraes B 5W · 3D · Varzim 1W · 2.9 goals a game
      • 25 OctVarzim2 – 4Guimaraes B
      • 25 AprVarzim2 – 2Guimaraes B
      • 28 FebGuimaraes B3 – 0Varzim
      • 4 OctVarzim1 – 1Guimaraes B
      • 19 FebGuimaraes B2 – 1Varzim
      • 4 NovVarzim2 – 0Guimaraes B

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

      Double chance

      1X52.4%
      X247.6%

      Match result

      Guimaraes B2.3
      Draw3.2
      Varzim2.7

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance52.4%
      Odds1.36

      X2

      Chance47.6%
      Odds1.5

      Guimaraes B

      Chance38.9%
      Odds2.3

      Draw

      Chance28%
      Odds3.2

      Varzim

      Chance33.1%
      Odds2.7

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

      Guimaraes BVarzim
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head72%28%
      Overall54%46%

      Guimaraes B vs Varzim: prediction & preview

      Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

      Guimaraes B meet Varzim in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 11 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes B at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Guimaraes B vs Varzim FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Guimaraes B vs Varzim?

      Kickoff is 16:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Guimaraes B vs Varzim?

      Guimaraes B is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.