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Guimaraes vs Alverca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Guimaraes

LWLWL

Sat, 28 Feb 202621:30

1 : 1

Full time

Alverca

DDLDL

Pre-match win probability

51.8%Guimaraes27.1%Draw21.1%Alverca

Our prediction

1X · Guimaraes

Guimaraes vs Alverca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence51.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes 51.8%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Alverca 21.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

GuimaraesAlverca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X62.3%
X237.7%

Match result

Guimaraes1.83
Draw3.5
Alverca4.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

Guimaraes

Chance51.8%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Alverca

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

GuimaraesAlverca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Guimaraes vs Alverca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Guimaraes meet Alverca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 28 February 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guimaraes vs Alverca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guimaraes vs Alverca?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guimaraes vs Alverca?

Guimaraes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guimaraes vs Alverca prediction, H2H and stats