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Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 11 May 2026

Guimaraes

LWWDW

Mon, 11 May 202620:15

0 : 1

Full time

Casa Pia

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Guimaraes24.3%Draw20%Casa Pia

Our prediction

Home · Guimaraes

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes 55.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Casa Pia 20%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

GuimaraesCasa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Guimaraes1.7
Draw3.9
Casa Pia4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Guimaraes

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Casa Pia

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.7

GuimaraesCasa Pia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 11 May 2026

Guimaraes meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

Guimaraes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction, H2H and stats