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Guimaraes vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 3 Apr 2026

Guimaraes

LLLDL

Fri, 3 Apr 202618:00

5 : 0

Full time

Tondela

DDLDW

Pre-match win probability

50.4%Guimaraes27.4%Draw22.2%Tondela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Guimaraes

Guimaraes vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence50.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes 50.4%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Tondela 22.2%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

GuimaraesTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Guimaraes1.85
Draw3.4
Tondela4.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Guimaraes

Chance50.4%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

Tondela

Chance22.2%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

GuimaraesTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Guimaraes vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 3 Apr 2026

Guimaraes meet Tondela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 3 April 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guimaraes vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guimaraes vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 3 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guimaraes vs Tondela?

Guimaraes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guimaraes vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats