Guinea vs Kenya Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Guinea

L

Thu, 1 Oct 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Kenya

D

Pre-match win probability

60%Guinea23.7%Draw16.4%Kenya

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Guinea

Guinea vs Kenya listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence60%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guinea 60%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Kenya 16.4%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

GuineaKenya

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.3% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X66%
X234%

Match result

Guinea1.5
Draw3.8
Kenya5.5

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance66%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance34%
Odds2.15

Guinea

Chance60%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.8

Kenya

Chance16.4%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.15

GuineaKenya
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Guinea vs Kenya: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Guinea meet Kenya in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guinea at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guinea vs Kenya FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guinea vs Kenya?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guinea vs Kenya?

Guinea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guinea vs Kenya prediction, H2H and stats