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Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 2Sat, 2 May 2026

Guingamp

LLDLL

Sat, 2 May 202619:00

0 : 1

Full time

Bastia

DWLDD

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Guingamp29%Draw30%Bastia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Guingamp

Guingamp vs Bastia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guingamp 40.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Bastia 30%

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · highlighted side is stronger

GuingampBastia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Guingamp2.2
Draw3.1
Bastia3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

Guingamp

Chance40.9%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Bastia

Chance30%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

GuingampBastia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Guingamp vs Bastia: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Sat, 2 May 2026

Guingamp meet Bastia in the France, Ligue 2 on 2 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guingamp at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guingamp vs Bastia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guingamp vs Bastia?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guingamp vs Bastia?

Guingamp is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guingamp vs Bastia prediction, H2H and stats