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Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaWed, 4 Mar 2026

Hamburger SV

LDWWD

Wed, 4 Mar 202620:30

0 : 1

Full time

Bayer Leverkusen

DDLWW

Pre-match win probability

25.4%Hamburger SV25.7%Draw48.9%Bayer Leverkusen

Our prediction

X2 · Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence48.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hamburger SV 25.4%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 48.9%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Hamburger SVBayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Hamburger SV3.75
Draw3.7
Bayer Leverkusen1.95

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Hamburger SV

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance48.9%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.28

Hamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Hamburger SV meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany, Bundesliga on 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, H2H and stats