Get Premium

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 14 Feb 2026

Hamburger SV

WDDDL

Sat, 14 Feb 202615:30

3 : 2

Full time

Union Berlin

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Hamburger SV28.8%Draw31.7%Union Berlin

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hamburger SV 39.6%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Union Berlin 31.7%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Hamburger SVUnion Berlin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Hamburger SV2.4
Draw3.3
Union Berlin3

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Hamburger SV

Chance39.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Union Berlin

Chance31.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

Hamburger SVUnion Berlin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Hamburger SV meet Union Berlin in the Germany, Bundesliga on 14 February 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Hamburger SV at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?

Hamburger SV is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin prediction, H2H and stats