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Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Israel · State CupMon, 26 Oct 2026

Hapoel Sderot

DLWDW

Mon, 26 Oct 202616:30

2 : 3

Full time

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Pre-match win probability

32.9%Hapoel Sderot25.1%Draw42%Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Our prediction

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hapoel Sderot 32.9%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 42%

Season statistics

State Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Hapoel SderotMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Goals scored (avg)
2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Hapoel Sderot4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 23 OctFC Jerusalem0 – 5Hapoel SderotW
  • 19 OctHapoel Sderot2 – 2Hapoel HerzliyaD
  • 12 OctHapoel Rahat1 – 4Hapoel SderotW
  • 9 OctDimona4 – 1Hapoel SderotL
  • 1 OctHapoel Sderot0 – 0Hapoel AzorD
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
    3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9%
    No41.1%

    Double chance

    1X46.4%
    X253.6%

    Match result

    Hapoel Sderot2.75
    Draw3.6
    Maccabi Ahi Nazareth2.15

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9% · 1.57
    No41.1% · 2.25

    1X

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    X2

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    Hapoel Sderot

    Chance32.9%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance25.1%
    Odds3.6

    Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

    Chance42%
    Odds2.15

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth at 2.15

    Hapoel SderotMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack67%33%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model67%33%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · State Cup

    Hapoel Sderot scored 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · State Cup

    Hapoel Sderot conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · State Cup

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · State Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction & preview

    Israel · State Cup · Mon, 26 Oct 2026

    Hapoel Sderot meet Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Israel, State Cup on 26 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

    Kickoff is 16:30 on 26 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

    Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.