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Hartlepool vs Carlisle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National LeagueWed, 25 Feb 2026

Hartlepool

WDLDL

Wed, 25 Feb 202620:45

3 : 1

Full time

Carlisle

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Hartlepool27.8%Draw41.7%Carlisle

Our prediction

Away · Hartlepool

Hartlepool vs Carlisle listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hartlepool 30.6%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Carlisle 41.7%

Season statistics

National League · highlighted side is stronger

HartlepoolCarlisle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Hartlepool3
Draw3.3
Carlisle2.2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Hartlepool

Chance30.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.3

Carlisle

Chance41.7%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.2

HartlepoolCarlisle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Hartlepool vs Carlisle: prediction & preview

England · National League · Wed, 25 Feb 2026

Hartlepool meet Carlisle in the England, National League on 25 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Carlisle at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hartlepool vs Carlisle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Hartlepool vs Carlisle?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 25 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Hartlepool vs Carlisle?

Carlisle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.