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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieFri, 16 Oct 2026

Heerenveen

LWDLD

Fri, 16 Oct 202619:00

4 : 0

Full time

Excelsior

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

61.5%Heerenveen21.2%Draw17.3%Excelsior

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence61.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 61.5%
  • Draw 21.2%
  • Excelsior 17.3%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenExcelsior

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Heerenveen1.55
Draw4.5
Excelsior5.5

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Heerenveen

Chance61.5%
Odds1.55

Draw

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

Excelsior

Chance17.3%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.3

HeerenveenExcelsior
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

Heerenveen meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Heerenveen is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction, H2H and stats