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Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · KNVB BekerThu, 15 Jan 2026

Heerenveen

Thu, 15 Jan 202618:45

3 : 1

Full time

Waalwijk

DLDDD

Pre-match win probability

73.3%Heerenveen16.9%Draw9.8%Waalwijk

Our prediction

Home · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Waalwijk listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence73.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 73.3%
  • Draw 16.9%
  • Waalwijk 9.8%

Season statistics

KNVB Beker · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenWaalwijk
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Heerenveen0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Waalwijk3W 5D 2L in last 10
    • 27 OctBarendrecht2 – 2WaalwijkD
    • 23 OctDe Graafschap1 – 1WaalwijkD
    • 18 OctWaalwijk1 – 1FC VolendamD
    • 9 OctHeracles3 – 0WaalwijkL
    • 3 OctWaalwijk1 – 1EmmenD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
    1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
    2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
    3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X76.1%
    X223.9%

    Match result

    Heerenveen1.27
    Draw5.5
    Waalwijk9.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance76.1%
    Odds1.07

    X2

    Chance23.9%
    Odds3.4

    Heerenveen

    Chance73.3%
    Odds1.27

    Draw

    Chance16.9%
    Odds5.5

    Waalwijk

    Chance9.8%
    Odds9.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.27

    HeerenveenWaalwijk
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence40%60%
    Goals model34%66%
    Overall88%12%

    Trends

    Trend · KNVB Beker

    Waalwijk scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · KNVB Beker

    Waalwijk conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · KNVB Beker

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · KNVB Beker

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Heerenveen vs Waalwijk: prediction & preview

    Netherlands · KNVB Beker · Thu, 15 Jan 2026

    Heerenveen meet Waalwijk in the Netherlands, KNVB Beker on 15 January 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Heerenveen vs Waalwijk FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Heerenveen vs Waalwijk?

    Kickoff is 18:45 on 15 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Heerenveen vs Waalwijk?

    Heerenveen is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.