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Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Catarinense - 2Sun, 28 Jun 2026

Hercílio Luz

LWLWD

Sun, 28 Jun 202619:00

4 : 2

Full time

Fluminense-SC

WDLWL

Pre-match win probability

76.7%Hercílio Luz15.7%Draw7.5%Fluminense-SC

Our prediction

Hercílio Luz

Hercílio Luz is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.18
Confidence76.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hercílio Luz 76.7%
  • Draw 15.7%
  • Fluminense-SC 7.5%

Season statistics

Catarinense - 2 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Hercílio LuzFluminense-SC
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Hercílio Luz6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctHercílio Luz0 – 0BlumenauD
  • 17 OctHercílio Luz2 – 0BarraW
  • 10 OctFigueirense1 – 0Hercílio LuzL
  • 26 SeptHercílio Luz2 – 1NaçãoW
  • 19 SeptMarcílio Dias4 – 2Hercílio LuzL
Fluminense-SC3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 25 JulMetropolitano3 – 0Fluminense-SCL
  • 22 JulFluminense-SC2 – 1TubaraoW
  • 19 JulJuventus SC3 – 0Fluminense-SCL
  • 15 JulFluminense-SC1 – 1Guarani de PalhoçaD
  • 12 JulNação1 – 2Fluminense-SCW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59% · 1.641% · 2.3

Double chance

1X79%
X221%

Match result

Hercílio Luz1.18
Draw5.75
Fluminense-SC12

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance79%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance21%
Odds3.8

Hercílio Luz

Chance76.7%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance15.7%
Odds5.75

Fluminense-SC

Chance7.5%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Hercílio Luz at 1.18

Hercílio LuzFluminense-SC
Recent form65%35%
Attack65%35%
Defence59%41%
Goals model65%35%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · Catarinense - 2

Hercílio Luz scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Catarinense - 2

Hercílio Luz conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Catarinense - 2

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Catarinense - 2

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC: prediction & preview

Brazil · Catarinense - 2 · Sun, 28 Jun 2026

Hercílio Luz meet Fluminense-SC in the Brazil, Catarinense - 2 on 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Hercílio Luz at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 28 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC?

Hercílio Luz is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.