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Hereford vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthMon, 6 Apr 2026

Hereford

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Mon, 6 Apr 202615:00

3 : 0

Full time

Merthyr Town

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

37.9%Hereford24.1%Draw37.9%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Away · Hereford

Hereford vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds2.35
Confidence37.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hereford 37.9%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Merthyr Town 37.9%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

HerefordMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.1% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
3.5 goals11.6% · 213.4% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X51.5%
X248.5%

Match result

Hereford2.35
Draw3.7
Merthyr Town2.35

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

Hereford

Chance37.9%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.7

Merthyr Town

Chance37.9%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.35

HerefordMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Hereford vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Mon, 6 Apr 2026

Hereford meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Hereford at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hereford vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Hereford vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 6 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Hereford vs Merthyr Town?

Hereford is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Hereford vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats