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HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 23 Jul 2026

HNK Hajduk Split

Thu, 23 Jul 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Pafos

Pre-match win probability

44.5%HNK Hajduk Split29.4%Draw26.1%Pafos

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • HNK Hajduk Split 44.5%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Pafos 26.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

HNK Hajduk SplitPafos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

HNK Hajduk Split2.05
Draw3.1
Pafos3.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.62

HNK Hajduk Split

Chance44.5%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.1

Pafos

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 2.05

HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 23 Jul 2026

HNK Hajduk Split meet Pafos in the World, UEFA Europa League on 23 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Hajduk Split at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos FAQs

4 questions

What time is HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos?

HNK Hajduk Split is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos prediction, H2H and stats