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HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia · HNLSun, 15 Mar 2026

HNK Rijeka

4th in table · 53 pts

LLWWL

Sun, 15 Mar 202617:45

0 : 2

Full time

Istra 1961

6th in table · 43 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

60.7%HNK Rijeka25.3%Draw14%Istra 1961

Our prediction

Home · HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • HNK Rijeka 60.7%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Istra 1961 14%

Season statistics

HNL · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

HNK RijekaIstra 1961
Goals scored (avg)
2.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–
Wins
1412
Played
3636

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

HNK Rijeka5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctDinamo Zagreb2 – 1HNK RijekaL
  • 20 OctKarlovac 19191 – 4HNK RijekaW
  • 16 OctRudes1 – 2HNK RijekaW
  • 11 OctNK Slaven Belupo4 – 1HNK RijekaL
  • 26 SeptHNK Rijeka0 – 1Union BerlinL
Istra 19610W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X68.2%
    X231.8%

    Match result

    HNK Rijeka1.5
    Draw3.6
    Istra 19616.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance68.2%
    Odds1.11

    X2

    Chance31.8%
    Odds2.38

    HNK Rijeka

    Chance60.7%
    Odds1.5

    Draw

    Chance25.3%
    Odds3.6

    Istra 1961

    Chance14%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.5

    HNK RijekaIstra 1961
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack69%31%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model69%31%
    Overall81%19%

    Trends

    Trend · HNL

    HNK Rijeka scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · HNL

    HNK Rijeka conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · HNL

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · HNL

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961: prediction & preview

    Croatia · HNL · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

    HNK Rijeka meet Istra 1961 in the Croatia, HNL on 15 March 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Rijeka at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

    Kickoff is 17:45 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

    HNK Rijeka is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.